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Climate &
Analytics & Loads

The Climate Analytics & Loads department offers expert analysis of atmospheric and oceanographic data to determine site-specific climatic conditions, both wind and marine, as well as the available wind resource at proposed wind farm sites.

Atmospheric & Oceanographic Analysis

Analysis of Atmospheric and Oceanographic data are fundamental inputs to the selection of appropriate turbine classes and layouts for every proposed wind farm, as well as the detailed site-specific design for offshore foundations (Design Basis).

The data and energy experts in this department are also able to use these analysis to estimate the future Energy Production of both onshore and offshore projects.

With a team of world-renowned senior experts in multiple areas, which include:

  • Detailed foundation design
  • Loads calculation
  • Metocean
  • Wind resource and energy yield assessment

WT is capable of providing a unique and integrated site-specific take on offshore wind farm foundation design and turbine selection.

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Services

  • Atmospheric and Oceanographic Site Conditions Assessment (AOSCA)

    Onshore & Offshore

    Wind Site Conditions Assessment (wSCA)

    Extreme wind speeds and turbulence can cause loads above turbine design limits. A site meteorological conditions assessment analyses the parameters which will impact turbine lifetime integrity and performance, allowing for an assessment of turbine model suitability to the site and proposed layout, anticipate issues and mitigate risks. Mitigations can range from changing turbine model, layout or implementing a wind sector management strategy. For offshore sites, it is also a key input to loads calculations and foundation design and form a part of the Atmospheric and Oceanographic Site Conditions Assessment, also known as the Design Basis Part A1.

    Offshore

    Marine Site Conditions Assessment (mSCA)

    In this study, a number of parameters affecting foundation loads are estimated. These can be derived from global hindcast models or detailed site specific downscaled mesoscale runs, depending on the level of detail required or maturity of the project. The parameters, such a significant wave height, peak period, currents, tidal range, etc, can be obtained for normal, extreme and/or severe sea states, depending on project specific needs and stage of development.

    Onshore & Offshore

    Other Climatic Conditions Assessment (oCCA)

    WT can assess other meteorological conditions and site-specific risks beyond the wind and marine parameters affecting loads. These will include, for example, risk of lighting strike, solar radiation, probability of earthquakes and tsunamis, and icing on blades.

  • Onshore & Offshore

    Layout design

    Wind farm layouts should be designed in order to maximize the available wind resource and minimize loads on turbines and foundations. WT can design layouts for both onshore and offshore projects that consider the site-specific wind conditions and available resource, terrain inclination, and any other known constraint, whilst also considering the practicality of each individual position and the configuration as a whole. For offshore sites, other relevant aspects such as soil and marine conditions can also be considered. Often an iterative process, the layout design can be undertaken and improved at any stage of the wind farm development

  • Onshore & Offshore

    Measurement campaign specification (MCS)

    A robust and comprehensive on-site measurement campaign, for both wind and marine metrics, is key to reduce uncertainties in the assessment of local resource, and to optimize the design to local conditions. With the combined expertise of WT engineers, the team is able to design wind only, or combined wind and marine measurement campaigns for prospective projects. WT will recommend the most cost-effective strategy for the site, considering all the available technologies such as mast and/or remote sensing devices, whilst still ensuring quality inputs for financial grade Energy Production Assessments. This service is applicable for both onshore and offshore sites.

  • Onshore & Offshore

    Pre-construction Energy Production Assessment (pEPA)

    WT offers independent onshore and offshore pre-construction energy assessment services based on industry best practice, experienced world class experts, and the latest research and tools. With a focus on region specific climatic conditions WT is able to offer financial grade rigorous assessments, of the highest quality, for both onshore and offshore environments.

  • Onshore & Offshore

    Site Procurement and Preliminary Wind Resource Assessment

    Both for onshore and offshore projects, it is often necessary to understand the relative potential of a number of sites/locations. Particularly in new an emerging markets. WT can assist in the initial stages of site procurement, opining on wind resource potential and expected range of site conditions, developing preliminary layouts, hub heights and initial turbine selection, as well as undertaking preliminary Energy Production Assessments.

  • Offshore

    Weather window analysis

    WT wind and metocean experts are able to estimate probabilities of occurrence, of certain atmospheric and oceanographic conditions, affecting activities at sea. These are often called Weather Window Analysis or Weather Downtime Analysis. WT analysts can, therefore, assist developers and vessel operators estimating realistic downtimes associated with different wind speed and wave height operating windows, allowing for a more efficient scheduling of activities and estimation of costs. WT's unique mix of expertise allows for a superior level of accuracy in these assessments, which is rooted in the quality of the input data used and its calibration to specific site climatology.

Onshore

  • Select your site
  • Understand the conditions
  • Optimise the layout
  • Maximise the yield

Offshore

  • Select your site
  • Understand the conditions
  • Optimise the design
  • Maximise the yield

Why Wood Thilsted

  • Unique combination of expertise

    WT offers a unique combination of atmospheric and oceanographic data expert analysis to determine site-specific, or turbine-cluster specific, climatic conditions

  • High quality financial grade energy assessment

    Based on industry best practice, experienced world class experts and the latest research and tools, WT offers financial grade rigorous assessments, of the highest quality, both for offshore and onshore environments

  • Reduction in LCoE

    With a team of industry leading experts in multiple technical areas, WT provides an integrated take on offshore wind farm foundation design, loads calculation and layout configuration, allowing for design and layout improvements, leading to reductions in costs and increased production

Projects

World map with markers over projects

Team

  • Jon Collins

    Jon Collins

    Lead Data Scientist

    • Wind / Energy Analysis
    • Python / Software
    • Data Science
    • Machine Learning
    • SCADA
    • Performance Analysis
  • Marie-Anne Cowan

    Marie-Anne Cowan

    Chief Consultant

    • Wind / Energy Analysis
    • Floating LiDARs
    • Offshore Project Development
    • Wind site conditions
  • Bruna de Queiroz

    Bruna de Queiroz

    Lead Engineer

    • Metocean site conditions
    • Oceanography
    • Numerical Modelling
    • Hydrodynamics
    • Design load cases definition
    • Waves

Jon Collins

Lead Data Scientist

Jon has almost 15 years of experience in the renewables industry working in roles combining customer-facing consultancy, data analytics and software development.

Focussed for the last 5 years on developing software and processes to improve the efficiency and quality of pre- and post- construction energy yield assessments (EYAs/EPAs) as well as other turbine SCADA analysis and performance/diagnostics tools. Jon was instrumental in the development of DNV GL’s wind farm digital twin “WindGemini”

Prior to that, 10 years working on wind, solar and power demand forecasting services for utility and TSO customers including 6 years of leading DNV GL’s forecasting activities with P&L and line management responsibilities.

Jon is skilled in mapping out customer needs, business risks/opportunities and stakeholder requirements and combining them into a actionable software plans/solutions.

Publications

  • S. Söderberg, J. Collins, T. Beckford, C. Ribeiro, DNV GL, "WICE 2.0 – The new generation of ice loss models", Winterwind, Umeå, Sweden, 2019.
  • J.Collins, Garrad Hassan "Beyond Mean Absolute Error – The Value of Being Right at the Right Time", EWEA Wind Power Forecasting Workshop, October 2015, Leuven, Belgium
  • B. Greaves, J. Collins, J. Parkes, Garrad Hassan, "Temporal Forecast Uncertainty For Ramp Events" Wind Engineering, Vol.33, No.4, 2009.
  • J. Collins, J. Parkes, A.Tindal, Garrad Hassan, "Short Term Forecasting for Utility-Scale Wind Farms – The Power Model Challenge", Wind Engineering, Vol.33, No.3, 2009.

Marie-Anne Cowan

Chief Consultant

Marie-Anne is a senior renewable energy expert with almost 15 years of experience in the wind industry. She began her career with Garrad Hassan (subsequently DNV) as a wind energy analyst in 2007 and during the latter half of her time at DNV held the role of technical lead for offshore wind resource and energy yield assessment in Northern Europe.

Over the course of her career, Marie-Anne has provided independent, technical advisory services to onshore and offshore wind farms at various stages of development across a range of markets including the Irish, North and Baltic Seas offshore, and onshore projects in the UK, Ireland, South Africa and the Nordic region.

Marie-Anne has been involved in the delivery wind resource and energy yield related analyses for over 14 GW of offshore wind farms in Northern Europe, many of which are now operational, and has supported offshore projects in the US and Asia. She has also managed industry leading projects with the Crown Estate and Carbon Trust, improving industry understanding of offshore wind resource and reducing LCoE of offshore wind projects.

Throughout her career Marie-Anne has established and maintained long-term customer relationships in the wi nd industry and has substantial experience of working with project developers, owners and investors of wind farm projects and also in supporting due diligence transactions.

Project Highlights

Involved in the delivery (either as author or checker/approver) of independent wind resource and energy yield related analyses for several tens of GW of offshore wind farms across North Sea, Irish Sea, English Channel, Atlantic Sea, Baltic Sea, US East and West Coast and Asia.
Energy production assessments for various floating offshore wind farms for the purpose of project finance (Scotland, Portugal)
Indicative wind resource and energy yield assessments including initial layout design for the UK Round 4 leasing areas and ScotWind leasing areas (~500 MW - 1 GW each) - including fixed and floating
Pre-deployment unit verification of a Stage 2 maturity floating Lidar system
Wind measurement strategy advice for 2 UK offshore wind farm extension projects (~300 MW to ~500 MW each)
Preliminary wind resource and energy yield assessment of the Hudson North and Hudson South Call Areas for NYSERDA (publicly available)
Technical wind measurement and metocean expert support to RVO for the TNW Wind Farm Zone
Technical expert support to the NYSERDA floating Lidar data management campaign (provided by DNV)
Wind resource and energy yield assessments for several offshore wind development zones along the US East Coast (confidential)
Site conditions assessment (wind) for a ~450MW Round 3 UK Offshore Wind Farm
Site conditions assessment (wind) for a ~700MW Round 3 UK Offshore Wind Farm
Update to Carbon Trust Offshore Wind Accelerator Roadmap for Commercial Acceptance of Floating Lidar Systems
RVO bid compliant energy assessments for the Dutch offshore tenders (Borssele 1&2 and 3&4, HKZ 1&2 and 3&4, HKN - total of 3.5 GW)
Study of inter annual variability of wind speeds around the UK
Site conditions assessment (wind) for a ~350MW Round 2 Extension UK Offshore Wind Farm

Publications

  • M. Cowan, J. Collins, Wood Thilsted, “Modelled datasets: Are they getting it right and what value do they bring?”, presented at WindEurope Technology Workshop, September 2021.
  • M. Cowan, DNV, “Are offshore met masts dead in the water?”, presented at WindEurope Technology Workshop, June 2020.
  • T. Beckford, M. Cowan, J. Collins, C. Montavon, DNV, “Offshore turbine interaction - wake validation and blockage”, presented at WindEurope Resource Assessment, Brussels, June 2019.
  • I. Papadopoulos, M. Cowan, J. Collins, H. Barry, DNV, “Improving confidence in offshore wake and energy yield predictions through innovative, statistically meaningful and detailed operational validations”, presented at Global Offshore Wind 2019, London, June 2019.
  • S. Söderberg, M. Cowan, DNV, “Sharing experiences of offshore wind measurements – potential approaches for wind farms in Swedish waters”, presented at Wind Power at Sea – New Needs and Opportunities, Stockholm, March 2019.
  • M. Cowan, DNV, Presented on behalf of The Carbon Trust and collaborators Frazer Nash Consultancy, Multiversum and Fraunhofer IWES, “Progressing commercial acceptance of floating LiDAR devices with an updated roadmap”, presented at WindEurope Global Wind Summit, Hamburg, October 2018.
  • M. Cowan, G. Daron, J. Nas, C. Ribeiro, E. Martin, K. Chew, DNV, “Decrease offshore wind LCoE through a global validation of mesoscale models”, presented at Global Offshore Wind, Manchester, June 2018.
  • M. Cowan, DNV, “Reducing LCoE through improving accuracy in energy production estimates”, presented at IMechE Onshore and Offshore Wind Engineering, Manchester, May 2018.
  • M. Cowan, DNV, “A review of wind speed inter-annual variability for the UK offshore wind climate”, presented at Offshore Wind Days event organised by TKI Wind Op Zee and hosted by KNMI, Utrecht, February 2018.
  • Co-author on report published for The Crown Estate, “Study on UK Offshore Wind Variability”, also presented at Offshore Wind Energy Conference, London, June 2017.
  • M. Cowan, G. Daron, S. Cox, DNV, and K. Bech, Equinor, “Loss and uncertainty in production estimates for offshore wind projects: How do we treat asymmetric uncertainties?”, presented at WindPower Monthly Wind Resource Assessment Forum, London, April 2016.

Bruna de Queiroz

Lead Engineer

Bruna has three years of experience in numerical modelling of oceanographic processes including propagation of waves, tides, currents as well as sediment transport and seabed morphology. More recently, Bruna has been applying her oceanography background and analytical skills in the offshore wind farm industry being involved in atmospheric and oceanographic site conditions assessment as well as wind resource assessments. Particular experience in numerical modelling using Deltf3D, data analysis using Matlab/Python and spatial analysis using ArcGIS/QGIS.

Project Highlights

Undisclosed Offshore wind farm (2021)
Energy Production Assessment
Undisclosed Offshore wind farm (2021)
Metocean Desk Study
Undisclosed Offshore wind farm (2021)
Preliminary Site Conditions Assessment
Undisclosed Offshore wind farm (2021)
Preliminary Site Conditions Assessment
Undisclosed Offshore wind farm (2021)
Weather downtime analysis.
Dogger Bank B (1.2GW) (2020-2021)
Seabed mobility and design seabed levels derivation, scour assessment and scour protection design.
East Anglia HUB – Detailed Design (3 GW) (2020-2021)
Site conditions assessment, seabed mobility and design seabed levels interpretation, scour assessment and scour protection design.
Ishikari and Tomari (1.2 GW) (2020)
Weather downtime analysis.
Dogger Bank A (1.2GW) (2020-2021)
Seabed mobility and design seabed levels interpretation, scour assessment and scour protection design.
Vineyard Wind Project Developments (2020-2021)
Cable burial risk assessment, seabed mobility interpretation, dredging volumes calculations and various specific analysis in support of route engineering and site investigation data interpretation.

Publications

  • Queiroz, B., Scheel, F., Caires, S., Walstra, D.J., Olij, D., Yoo, J., de Boer, W. (2019). Performance evaluation of wave input reduction techniques for modelling inter-annual sandbar dynamics. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 7(5). https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse7050148
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